SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak Dynamics in an Isolated US Military Recruit Training Center With Rigorous Prevention Measures. Author Rhonda Lizewski, Rachel Sealfon, Sang Park, Gregory Smith, Chad Porter, Ana Gonzalez-Reiche, Yongchao Ge, Clare Miller, Carl Goforth, Hanna Pincas, Michael Termini, Irene Ramos, Venugopalan Nair, Stephen Lizewski, Hala Alshammary, Regina Cer, Hua Chen, Mary-Catherine George, Catherine Arnold, Lindsay Glang, Kyle Long, Francisco Malagon, Jan Marayag, Edgar Nunez, Gregory Rice, Ernesto Ana, Megan Schilling, Darci Smith, Victor Sugiharto, Peifang Sun, Adriana van de Guchte, Zenab Khan, Jayeeta Dutta, Sindhu Vangeti, Logan Voegtly, Dawn Weir, C Jessica Metcalf, Olga Troyanskaya, Kimberly Bishop-Lilly, Bryan Grenfell, Harm van Bakel, Andrew Letizia, Stuart Sealfon Publication Year 2022 Type Journal Article Abstract BACKGROUND: Marine recruits training at Parris Island experienced an unexpectedly high rate of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, despite preventive measures including a supervised, 2-week, pre-entry quarantine. We characterize SARS-CoV-2 transmission in this cohort.METHODS: Between May and November 2020, we monitored 2,469 unvaccinated, mostly male, Marine recruits prospectively during basic training. If participants tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 by quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) at the end of quarantine, they were transferred to the training site in segregated companies and underwent biweekly testing for 6 weeks. We assessed the effects of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) prevention measures on other respiratory infections with passive surveillance data, performed phylogenetic analysis, and modeled transmission dynamics and testing regimens.RESULTS: Preventive measures were associated with drastically lower rates of other respiratory illnesses. However, among the trainees, 1,107 (44.8%) tested SARS-CoV-2-positive, with either mild or no symptoms. Phylogenetic analysis of viral genomes from 580 participants revealed that all cases but one were linked to five independent introductions, each characterized by accumulation of mutations across and within companies, and similar viral isolates in individuals from the same company. Variation in company transmission rates (mean reproduction number R 0 ; 5.5 [95% confidence interval [CI], 5.0, 6.1]) could be accounted for by multiple initial cases within a company and superspreader events. Simulations indicate that frequent rapid-report testing with case isolation may minimize outbreaks.CONCLUSIONS: Transmission of wild-type SARS-CoV-2 among Marine recruits was approximately twice that seen in the community. Insights from SARS-CoV-2 outbreak dynamics and mutations spread in a remote, congregate setting may inform effective mitigation strategies. Keywords Humans, Female, Male, United States, Phylogeny, Disease Outbreaks, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, Military Personnel Journal Epidemiology Volume 33 Issue 6 Pages 797-807 Date Published 2022 Nov 01 ISSN Number 1531-5487 DOI 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001523 Alternate Journal Epidemiology PMCID PMC9531985 PMID 35944149 PubMedPubMed CentralGoogle ScholarBibTeXEndNote X3 XML